Research notes

Thinking in public, with rigor.

These notes document observations, hypotheses, and research directions from our work in learning, cognition, and applied modelling. They are written for partners, funders, collaborators, and serious hires who want to see how we reason before they work with us.

Notes are not marketing. They are an early record of what we believe is worth measuring, building, and debating.

EXACT RELATIONA guarantee needs the right task
Research note 8 min read

A perfect braid, an ordinary classifier

Exact algebra survived every tested braid rewrite, yet lost on MNIST. A guarantee helps learning when the variation it removes is irrelevant to the task.

Our braid model preserved algebraic equivalence by construction, then lost to a smaller conventional image model. We report the measured results, the failed conversion, and the matched controls: a case study in when a mathematical guarantee becomes a useful learning bias.

  • Learning & cognition
  • Applied modelling
  • Institutions & evaluation
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ATTEMPT VOLUMEEndpoint ≠ ledgercredit after industrial search
Research note 11 min read

After Eureka

Scientific credit in the age of industrialized reasoning — when ten million tries is not a eureka moment.

As machine reasoning becomes scalable, institutions must distinguish cognitive achievement from computational expenditure. We treat large-scale search as scarce scientific infrastructure — allocated by knowledge gain, proportionality, reproducibility, and opportunity cost — with the Clay problems as case study, not target.

  • Institutions & evaluation
  • Infrastructure & energy
  • Human–AI interaction
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SURFACE SIGNALSLINEAGE SIGNALSDISCRIMINATESdepth vs polish
Research note 10 min read

Metrics that still discriminate

What funders and partners can still measure when agents saturate hiring, review, and drafting — and polish stops signaling depth.

Linguistic homogenization, verifier scarcity, and energy-limited review converge in the committee room. We argue for lineage, verification budgets, and distributional reporting — metrics that remain informative when production is cheap and form converges.

  • Institutions & evaluation
  • Human–AI interaction
  • Learning & cognition
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SURFACE LANGUAGESENARZHESHILATENTLINGUA FRANCAShared representation, open question
Research note 9 min read

A latent lingua franca

What multilingual models may share internally — and why that representation becomes an institutional question once it mediates public language.

Multilingual models can align semantically equivalent expressions in shared latent spaces. We distinguish that model-internal finding from human homogenization, then ask what institutions must measure when those representations mediate translation, reasoning, and public language.

  • Language
  • Learning & cognition
  • Human–AI interaction
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WORKFORCEFEWER VERIFIERSDELEGATION POINTLock-in riskPipeline narrows as work delegates
Research note 12 min read

Delegation, lock-in, and the shrinking verifier class

Delegation may be rational; institutions still need a workforce able to verify what it delegates.

Delegation can aggregate into sociotechnical lock-in while entry routes to verification work weaken. We separate formal mechanisms, measured junior-employment patterns, and disputed cognitive claims — then ask what institutions must preserve before the verdict is in.

  • Labor & institutions
  • Human–AI interaction
  • Learning & cognition
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DIVERSE REGISTERSSHARED REGISTERLinguistic homogenizationLanguage, tone, and form converge
Research note 9 min read

Linguistic homogenization

When people, agents, and published language begin to sound the same — without necessarily meaning the same thing.

Our earlier work on learning and cognition pointed toward expressive convergence across people and models. That convergence is now visible in the open — shared jargon, tone, and rhetorical form spreading through agents and published materials, often creating an appearance of agreement without proving one.

  • Learning & cognition
  • Language
  • Human–AI interaction
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COMPUTE DEMANDGRID CEILINGReasoning depth → energy
Research note 10 min read

The power wall

Compute-heavy AI is physical infrastructure: its viability depends on workload depth, power, and a budget for verification.

As reasoning workloads deepen, their viability depends on context growth, hardware, power, and verification capacity. We argue that civilian AI programs need explicit depth-aware operating budgets — not just benchmark claims.

  • Infrastructure & energy
  • Applied modelling
  • Human–AI interaction
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RUPTURE DETECTEDP-WAVES-WAVE / DAMAGEALERT WINDOWseconds, not prophecy
Research note 11 min read

Seconds before the wave

Earthquake early warning is a governed latency problem: measure who receives actionable seconds, not only whether an alert was sent.

Early warning is not prediction. It is governed detection, latency budgeting, and equitable last-mile delivery under mortal stakes. ML can accelerate phase picking, but it cannot substitute for sensors, drills, or accountable alert systems.

  • Disaster risk reduction
  • Applied modelling
  • Human–AI interaction
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